Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Aces v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-07-29 02:05 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 98–83 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Previsão 84.11%1.19odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -2.10%
Kelly -15.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.70%84.12%84.27%85.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.131.131.1690.91%88.40%88.50%86.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 15.89%6.29odd justa
EV +3.30%
Vantagem +0.507%
Kelly +0.600%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.70%15.88%15.73%18.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.915.976.5020.00%16.92%16.75%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 84.11%; Portland Fire (Visitante): 15.89%. Para Portland Fire (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.29. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.30%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020%4.7%2026-07-28 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020%4.7%2026-07-29 01:54
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020%4.7%2026-07-28 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.1%2026-07-29 01:19
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV +0.914%E +0.144%K +0.171%G +0.002%4.2%2026-07-29 00:29
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -0.675%E -0.108%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 01:59
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:54
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:29
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -2.26%E -0.368%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:59
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.06%E -0.501%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:49
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:59
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 01:39
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 20:04
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:34
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.97%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.03%EV -5.12%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.43%E -2.10%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 01:48
betano_uk🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.43%E -2.10%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 01:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 01:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -9.42%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 02:00
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 01:59
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 01:39
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -7.48%E -6.80%K -74.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -14.18%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-29 01:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.28%E -2.85%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.36%E -3.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 01:59
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.54%E -4.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 01:59
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 01:59
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-29 02:00
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-28 23:45
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-07-29 02:00
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-07-29 02:00