L’École des cotes

Las Vegas Aces v Portland Fire

2026-07-29 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prévision 84.76%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -2.96%
Kelly -24.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.97%84.57%84.69%85.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.121.121.1491.74%88.99%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.24%6.56cote équitable
EV -0.932%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.169%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.47%15.43%15.31%18.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.926.006.5020.00%16.89%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:25
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:25
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:25
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:24
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:25
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:24
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:25
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:24
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:25
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.38%E -2.96%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 04:25
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.22%E -3.74%K -32.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.74%E -0.759%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 20:14
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.22%E -3.74%K -32.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 11:55
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.22%E -3.74%K -32.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 02:09
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.22%E -3.74%K -32.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.36%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 03:59
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.932%E -0.143%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 02:19
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.932%E -0.143%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 04:45
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.932%E -0.143%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 11:55
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.932%E -0.143%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 02:05
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -1.69%E -0.263%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 16:40
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.50%E -0.888%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.50%E -0.888%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 11:55
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.50%E -0.888%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 11:54
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 16:25
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 16:25
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 20:14
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 02:30
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 02:04
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.17%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 03:59
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -20.75%E -3.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 16:20
betano_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.07%E -4.53%K -42.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -20.75%E -3.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 16:19
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.92%E -5.33%K -53.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 02:04
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.92%E -5.33%K -53.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.55%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 02:04
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -5.92%E -5.33%K -53.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -19.22%E -3.63%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 18:00
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.77%E -6.15%K -67.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.932%E -0.143%K -0.169%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -6.77%E -6.15%K -67.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -23.79%E -4.76%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 20:15
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -16.17%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 04:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.0%2026-07-25 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 85.59%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%15.7%2026-07-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 85.59%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%15.7%2026-07-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 85.59%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%15.7%2026-07-25 18:25