默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Las Vegas Aces v Portland Fire

开赛时间: 2026-07-29 02:05 UTC

最终结果: Las Vegas Aces 98–83 Portland Fire

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Las Vegas Aces (主队)

预测 84.11%1.19公平赔率
EV -2.43%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -15.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.16

博彩公司预测分布
81.70%84.12%84.27%85.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.101.131.131.1690.91%88.40%88.50%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

Portland Fire (客队)

预测 15.89%6.29公平赔率
EV +3.30%
优势 +0.507%
Kelly +0.600%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.70%15.88%15.73%18.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.915.976.5020.00%16.92%16.75%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Las Vegas Aces (主队):84.11%;Portland Fire (客队):15.89%。 对于“Portland Fire (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.29。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.50,对应+3.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020%4.7%2026-07-28 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020%4.7%2026-07-29 01:54
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020%4.7%2026-07-28 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.1%2026-07-29 01:19
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV +0.914%E +0.144%K +0.171%G +0.002%4.2%2026-07-29 00:29
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -0.675%E -0.108%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 01:59
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:54
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:29
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -2.26%E -0.368%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:59
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.06%E -0.501%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:49
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:59
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 01:39
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 20:04
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:34
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.97%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.03%EV -5.12%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.43%E -2.10%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 01:48
betano_uk🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.43%E -2.10%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 01:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:49
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 01:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -9.42%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 02:00
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 01:59
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 01:39
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -7.48%E -6.80%K -74.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -14.18%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-29 01:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.28%E -2.85%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.36%E -3.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 01:59
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.54%E -4.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 01:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 01:59
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-07-29 01:59
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-29 02:00
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-28 23:45
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-07-29 02:00
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-07-29 02:00