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Las Vegas Aces v Portland Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 84.11%1.19momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -15.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.70%84.12%84.27%85.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1690.91%88.40%88.50%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Portland Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 15.89%6.29momio equitativo
EV +3.30%
Ventaja +0.507%
Kelly +0.600%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%15.88%15.73%18.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.915.976.5020.00%16.92%16.75%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 84.11%; Portland Fire (Visitante): 15.89%. Para Portland Fire (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.29. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.30%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.30%E +0.507%K +0.600%G +0.020% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV +0.914%E +0.144%K +0.171%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -0.675%E -0.108%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -2.26%E -0.368%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.06%E -0.501%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.97%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.03%EV -5.12%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.43%E -2.10%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 01:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.43%E -2.10%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 01:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.96%E -4.39%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -9.42%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.12%E -3.61%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.59%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -7.48%E -6.80%K -74.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -14.18%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.28%E -2.85%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.36%E -3.34%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.54%E -4.11%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |