The School of Odds

Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm

2026-07-17 23:40 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prediction 76.81%1.30fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -15.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.11%76.81%76.74%78.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.231.2583%81%81%80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Storm (Visit)

Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV -0.289%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.088%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%23.19%23.26%25.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.554.074.074.3028%25%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.99%E -3.19%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 03:05
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.99%E -3.19%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 03:04
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.99%E -3.19%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 03:04
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.99%E -3.19%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 03:04
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.99%E -3.19%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 03:05
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.99%E -3.19%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 03:14
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.75%E -3.83%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.61%E -0.621%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 03:05
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.75%E -3.83%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.61%E -0.621%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 03:15
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.75%E -3.83%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.77%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 03:15
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.75%E -3.83%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 03:20
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.75%E -3.83%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 03:14
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -4.75%E -3.83%K -19.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -17.68%E -4.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 08:29
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.52%E -4.49%K -24.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.45%E -0.341%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 03:30
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.52%E -4.49%K -24.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.61%E -0.621%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 08:25
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.52%E -4.49%K -24.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.61%E -0.621%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 03:30
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.52%E -4.49%K -24.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 03:15
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.29%E -5.16%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.61%E -0.621%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 03:30
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.29%E -5.16%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 05:14
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.29%E -5.16%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.09%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 03:25
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.29%E -5.16%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.09%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 03:25
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.29%E -5.16%K -28.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.56%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 03:14
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.06%E -5.83%K -33.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.289%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 08:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.83%E -6.52%K -39.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 08:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-07-16 06:05
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%3.3%2026-07-16 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%12.3%2026-07-16 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%12.3%2026-07-16 07:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.97%17.6%2026-07-16 08:05