Language:English
Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 76.45%1.31fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -7.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%76.36%76.63%78.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.72%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +0.824%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%23.64%23.37%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.954.004.4028.57%25.31%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 76.45%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 23.55%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.62%E +0.824%K +1.07%G +0.039% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-17 23:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 23:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.21%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-17 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 22:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 22:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.97%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 23:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-17 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-17 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-07-17 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10% | 1.6% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |