默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm

开赛时间: 2026-07-17 23:40 UTC

最终结果: Indiana Fever 110–107 Seattle Storm

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indiana Fever (主队)

预测 76.45%1.31公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -7.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
73.68%76.36%76.63%78.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.72%80.00%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

Seattle Storm (客队)

预测 23.55%4.25公平赔率
EV +3.62%
优势 +0.824%
Kelly +1.07%
增长率 +0.039%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.71%23.64%23.37%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.954.004.4028.57%25.31%25.00%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Indiana Fever (主队):76.45%;Seattle Storm (客队):23.55%。 对于“Seattle Storm (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.25。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.40,对应+3.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.62%E +0.824%K +1.07%G +0.039%4.7%2026-07-17 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:29
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:13
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.21%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:14
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 23:19
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:09
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:20
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:53
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.97%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:23
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:54
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 23:19
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 21:34
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:44
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 21:45
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-07-17 23:30
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10%1.6%2026-07-17 23:29