A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-07-17 23:40 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 110–107 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 76.45%1.31odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -7.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.68%76.36%76.63%78.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.72%80.00%78.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 23.55%4.25odd justa
EV +3.62%
Vantagem +0.824%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.71%23.64%23.37%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.954.004.4028.57%25.31%25.00%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.62%E +0.824%K +1.07%G +0.039%4.7%2026-07-17 23:09
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:18
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:29
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:14
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:13
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.21%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 22:59
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:14
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 23:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:09
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:39
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:20
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:19
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:53
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.97%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:23
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:54
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 23:19
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 21:34
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:19
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:44
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 21:45
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-07-17 23:30
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10%1.6%2026-07-17 23:29