La escuela de los momios

Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm

Inicio: 2026-07-17 23:40 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 110–107 Seattle Storm

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Predicción 76.45%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -7.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.68%76.36%76.63%78.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.72%80.00%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Predicción 23.55%4.25momio equitativo
EV +3.62%
Ventaja +0.824%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.71%23.64%23.37%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.954.004.4028.57%25.31%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.62%E +0.824%K +1.07%G +0.039%4.7%2026-07-17 23:09
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:18
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:29
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:14
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:13
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.21%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 22:59
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:14
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 23:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:09
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:39
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:20
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:19
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:53
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.97%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:23
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:54
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 23:19
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 21:34
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:19
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:44
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 21:45
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-07-17 23:30
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10%1.6%2026-07-17 23:29