L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 23:40 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 110–107 Seattle Storm

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 76.45%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -7.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.68%76.36%76.63%78.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.72%80.00%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.55%4.25cote équitable
EV +3.62%
Avantage +0.824%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.71%23.64%23.37%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.954.004.4028.57%25.31%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.62%E +0.824%K +1.07%G +0.039%4.7%2026-07-17 23:09
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +0.091%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 23:18
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:29
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:14
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:14
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.03%E -0.488%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:13
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.21%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 22:59
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:14
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 23:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:09
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:39
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:40
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:20
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:19
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:53
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.97%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:23
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:54
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 23:19
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 21:34
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:29
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 21:34
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.51%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:45
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:44
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 21:44
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:19
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:44
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-17 22:19
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 21:45
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-17 23:30
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-07-17 23:30
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10%1.6%2026-07-17 23:29