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Atlanta Dream v Portland Fire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 84.35%1.19fair odd
EV -0.461%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.21%84.29%84.27%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.131.1892.59%88.75%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Fire (Visit)
Prediction 15.65%6.39fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.424%
Kelly +0.501%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 6.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%15.71%15.73%18.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.056.206.5719.61%16.54%16.13%15.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.32%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +2.79%E +0.424%K +0.501%G +0.014% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.19%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.81%EV +0.754%E +0.117%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 20:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:05 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| ReBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.57%E -0.748%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.35%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 20:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.90%E -8.24%K -111.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -0.461%E -0.391%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Polymarket | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |