The School of Odds

Atlanta Dream v Portland Fire

2026-07-11 20:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 82.99%1.20fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -30.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.14%83.01%82.90%84.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1589%88%88%87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 17.01%5.88fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.344%
Kelly +0.412%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%16.99%17.10%19.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.605.535.506.0022%18%18%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.06%E +0.344%K +0.412%G +0.009%5.2%2026-07-10 06:35
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.06%E +0.344%K +0.412%G +0.009%5.2%2026-07-10 06:35
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.06%E +0.344%K +0.412%G +0.009%6.0%2026-07-10 06:34
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.19%E -0.381%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 06:19
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.19%E -0.381%K -0.461%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 05:54
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -3.04%E -0.534%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 06:20
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.26%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.74%EV -3.55%E -0.626%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 06:45
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.74%E -0.847%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 05:53
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 06:04
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 05:59
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 06:17
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 05:54
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 05:54
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 05:54
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 05:55
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 05:54
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -7.29%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 06:25
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -13.25%E -2.60%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 05:54
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 05:55
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -21.75%E -4.73%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 06:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-07-10 06:34