Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-07-11 20:06 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 92–102 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 84.35%1.19odd justa
EV -0.461%
Vantagem -0.391%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.21%84.29%84.27%85.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.131.131.1892.59%88.75%88.50%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 15.65%6.39odd justa
EV +2.79%
Vantagem +0.424%
Kelly +0.501%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.59%15.71%15.73%18.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.106.056.206.5719.61%16.54%16.13%15.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Dream (Local): 84.35%; Portland Fire (Visitante): 15.65%. Para Portland Fire (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.39. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.57, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.32%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +2.79%E +0.424%K +0.501%G +0.014%3.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005%3.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005%5.5%2026-07-11 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.19%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.81%EV +0.754%E +0.117%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-11 20:03
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:05
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.57%E -0.748%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 19:59
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.35%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.90%E -8.24%K -111.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 19:59
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -0.461%E -0.391%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%5.5%2026-07-11 20:04