L’École des cotes

Atlanta Dream v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 20:06 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Dream 92–102 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prévision 84.35%1.19cote équitable
EV -0.461%
Avantage -0.391%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.21%84.29%84.27%85.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.131.131.1892.59%88.75%88.50%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.65%6.39cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +0.424%
Kelly +0.501%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 6.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.59%15.71%15.73%18.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.106.056.206.5719.61%16.54%16.13%15.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.32%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +2.79%E +0.424%K +0.501%G +0.014%3.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005%3.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005%5.5%2026-07-11 19:59
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.19%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.81%EV +0.754%E +0.117%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-11 20:03
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:05
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 19:59
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.57%E -0.748%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 19:59
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.35%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:01
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 20:00
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.90%E -8.24%K -111.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 19:59
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -0.461%E -0.391%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%5.5%2026-07-11 20:04