默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream v Portland Fire

开赛时间: 2026-07-11 20:06 UTC

最终结果: Atlanta Dream 92–102 Portland Fire

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream (主队)

预测 84.35%1.19公平赔率
EV -0.461%
优势 -0.391%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.18

博彩公司预测分布
81.21%84.29%84.27%85.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.131.131.1892.59%88.75%88.50%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Portland Fire (客队)

预测 15.65%6.39公平赔率
EV +2.79%
优势 +0.424%
Kelly +0.501%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 6.57

博彩公司预测分布
14.59%15.71%15.73%18.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.106.056.206.5719.61%16.54%16.13%15.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Dream (主队):84.35%;Portland Fire (客队):15.65%。 对于“Portland Fire (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.39。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.57,对应+2.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.32%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +2.79%E +0.424%K +0.501%G +0.014%3.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005%3.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005%5.5%2026-07-11 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.19%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.81%EV +0.754%E +0.117%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-11 20:03
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:05
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.57%E -0.748%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 19:59
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.35%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.90%E -8.24%K -111.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 19:59
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -0.461%E -0.391%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 20:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%5.5%2026-07-11 20:04