La escuela de los momiosAtlanta Dream v Portland Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 84.35%1.19momio equitativo
EV -0.461%
Ventaja -0.391%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.21%84.29%84.27%85.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.131.131.1892.59%88.75%88.50%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Portland Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 15.65%6.39momio equitativo
EV +2.79%
Ventaja +0.424%
Kelly +0.501%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.59%15.71%15.73%18.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.106.056.206.5719.61%16.54%16.13%15.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.32%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +2.79%E +0.424%K +0.501%G +0.014% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.19%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.81%EV +0.754%E +0.117%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 20:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:05 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.22%E -0.355%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| ReBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.57%E -0.748%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.35%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.84%E -3.36%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 20:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.90%E -8.24%K -111.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.68%E -4.14%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.52%E -4.93%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -0.461%E -0.391%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -20.21%E -3.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Polymarket | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |