Language:English
Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Raptors (Local)
Prediction 60.41%1.66fair odd
EV -0.319%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.491%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.37%60.35%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.581.581.6566.23%63.31%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV +0.948%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.612%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.63%39.65%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.50%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Raptors (Local): 60.41%; Miami Heat (Visit): 39.59%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.948%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -0.240%E -0.095%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 23:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.82%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 23:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 23:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 0.0% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04% | 1.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |