Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

Początek: 2026-04-09 23:12 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Toronto Raptors (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.41%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -0.319%
Przewaga -0.193%
Kelly -0.491%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%60.37%60.35%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.511.581.581.6566.23%63.31%63.29%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miami Heat (Goście)

Prognoza 39.59%2.53kurs godziwy
EV +0.948%
Przewaga +0.372%
Kelly +0.612%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%39.63%39.65%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.50%41.67%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Toronto Raptors (Gospodarze): 60.41%; Miami Heat (Goście): 39.59%. Dla wyniku Miami Heat (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.53. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.948%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
TAB🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -0.240%E -0.095%K -0.158%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:08
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.82%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 23:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:58
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:02
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 23:08
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-04-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:09
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%1.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10