La escuela de los momios

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

Inicio: 2026-04-09 23:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 60.41%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.319%
Ventaja -0.193%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.37%60.35%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.581.581.6566.23%63.31%63.29%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Predicción 39.59%2.53momio equitativo
EV +0.948%
Ventaja +0.372%
Kelly +0.612%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.63%39.65%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.50%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
TAB1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -0.240%E -0.095%K -0.158%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:08
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.82%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 23:01
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:58
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:08
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:02
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:09
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:09
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:09
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 23:08
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-04-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:09
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%1.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10