مدرسة الاحتمالات

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

البداية: 2026-04-09 23:12 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Toronto Raptors (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.41%1.66السعر العادل
EV -0.319%
الأفضلية -0.193%
Kelly -0.491%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.14%60.37%60.35%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.511.581.581.6566.23%63.31%63.29%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Heat (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.59%2.53السعر العادل
EV +0.948%
الأفضلية +0.372%
Kelly +0.612%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%39.63%39.65%41.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.50%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
TAB1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -0.240%E -0.095%K -0.158%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:08
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.82%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 23:01
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:58
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:08
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:02
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:09
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:09
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:09
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 23:08
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-04-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:09
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%1.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10