L’École des cotes

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 23:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Prévision 60.41%1.66cote équitable
EV -0.319%
Avantage -0.193%
Kelly -0.491%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.37%60.35%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.581.581.6566.23%63.31%63.29%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.59%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.948%
Avantage +0.372%
Kelly +0.612%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.63%39.65%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.50%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
TAB1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.948%E +0.372%K +0.612%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -0.240%E -0.095%K -0.158%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:08
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.82%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 23:01
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:58
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:08
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:02
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:09
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:09
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.319%E -0.193%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:09
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:10
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 23:08
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-04-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:09
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%1.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10