Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.46
assuming max odds 1.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 42.11%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 57.89%. For Orlando Magic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +3.59%E +1.46%K +2.46%G +0.088% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.219%E +0.092%K +0.159%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.623%E -0.264%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 23:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 23:03 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 22:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.10%E -2.73%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.57%E -5.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |