L’École des cotes

Orlando Magic v Los Angeles Lakers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 23:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prévision 42.11%2.37cote équitable
EV +3.59%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +2.46%
Croissance +0.088%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%42.09%42.09%43.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.292.4647.62%43.84%43.67%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Lakers (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.89%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.932%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.48%57.91%57.91%60.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.85%60.61%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +3.59%E +1.46%K +2.46%G +0.088%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 23:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.219%E +0.092%K +0.159%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.623%E -0.264%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:06
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:54
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:59
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:05
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:03
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:54
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:09
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:08
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 22:59
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 23:09
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:55
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 22:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:09
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:10
SportsBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.10%E -2.73%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:04
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 22:54
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.57%E -5.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-21 23:04
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-03-21 23:10
BetOpenly2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%10.1%2026-03-21 23:10