مدرسة الاحتمالات

Orlando Magic v Los Angeles Lakers

البداية: 2026-03-21 23:11 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Orlando Magic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.11%2.37السعر العادل
EV +3.59%
الأفضلية +1.46%
Kelly +2.46%
النمو +0.088%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.55%42.09%42.09%43.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.282.292.4647.62%43.84%43.67%40.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Los Angeles Lakers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.89%1.73السعر العادل
EV -1.58%
الأفضلية -0.932%
Kelly -2.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.48%57.91%57.91%60.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.85%60.61%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +3.59%E +1.46%K +2.46%G +0.088%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 23:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.219%E +0.092%K +0.159%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.623%E -0.264%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:06
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:54
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:59
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:05
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:03
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:54
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:09
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:08
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 22:59
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 23:09
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:55
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 22:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:09
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:10
SportsBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.10%E -2.73%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:04
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 22:54
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.57%E -5.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 23:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-21 23:04
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-03-21 23:10
BetOpenly2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%10.1%2026-03-21 23:10