Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Orlando Magic v Los Angeles Lakers

Początek: 2026-03-21 23:11 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Orlando Magic (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.11%2.37kurs godziwy
EV +3.59%
Przewaga +1.46%
Kelly +2.46%
Wzrost +0.088%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.55%42.09%42.09%43.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.282.292.4647.62%43.84%43.67%40.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Los Angeles Lakers (Goście)

Prognoza 57.89%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -1.58%
Przewaga -0.932%
Kelly -2.26%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.48%57.91%57.91%60.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.85%60.61%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Orlando Magic (Gospodarze): 42.11%; Los Angeles Lakers (Goście): 57.89%. Dla wyniku Orlando Magic (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.37. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.46, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.59%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +3.59%E +1.46%K +2.46%G +0.088%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 23:09
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:59
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.219%E +0.092%K +0.159%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.623%E -0.264%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:54
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:59
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:03
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:54
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:09
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:08
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 22:59
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 23:09
ReBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 22:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:55
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.10%E -2.73%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 22:54
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.57%E -5.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 23:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-21 23:04
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-03-21 23:10
BetOpenly2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%10.1%2026-03-21 23:10