La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-03-21 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 42.11%2.37momio equitativo
EV +3.59%
Ventaja +1.46%
Kelly +2.46%
Crecimiento +0.088%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%42.09%42.09%43.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.292.4647.62%43.84%43.67%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.48%57.91%57.91%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.85%60.61%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +3.59%E +1.46%K +2.46%G +0.088%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 23:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.06%E +0.442%K +0.758%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.219%E +0.092%K +0.159%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.623%E -0.264%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:06
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:54
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.810%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:05
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:59
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:05
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:03
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 22:54
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:09
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:08
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:05
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 22:59
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 23:09
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:55
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.99%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.58%E -0.932%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 22:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:59
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:09
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:10
SportsBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.10%E -2.73%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:04
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 22:54
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.20%E -3.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.57%E -5.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-21 23:04
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-03-21 23:10
BetOpenly2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%3.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%10.1%2026-03-21 23:10