Language:English
Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV +1.54%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.597%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.94%28.33%28.27%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.5832.26%29.62%29.41%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 71.64%1.40fair odd
EV -0.424%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%71.67%71.73%73.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3978.74%75.23%75.19%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 28.36%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 71.64%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +1.54%E +0.430%K +0.597%G +0.009% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.972%E +0.273%K +0.380%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 01:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.162%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 01:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -1.30%E -0.373%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:33 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%EV -2.43%E -0.707%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%EV -1.86%E -1.36%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 01:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 01:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.57%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.43%EV -0.424%E -0.305%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-01 01:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -9.02%E -7.10%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -9.52%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 00:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Novig◎ | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.79% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.21% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |