L’École des cotes

Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 01:40 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Timberwolves 110–98 Denver Nuggets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prévision 28.36%3.53cote équitable
EV +1.54%
Avantage +0.430%
Kelly +0.597%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.94%28.33%28.27%29.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.383.403.5832.26%29.62%29.41%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denver Nuggets (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.64%1.40cote équitable
EV -0.424%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.11%71.67%71.73%73.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.331.331.3978.74%75.23%75.19%71.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +1.54%E +0.430%K +0.597%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 01:34
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.972%E +0.273%K +0.380%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 01:19
SportsBet3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:34
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 01:24
BetOnline.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.162%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 01:20
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 01:35
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:34
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:24
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:30
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 01:19
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -1.30%E -0.373%K -0.523%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-01 01:34
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Bet Victor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:33
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:29
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:30
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 01:30
theScore Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%EV -2.43%E -0.707%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%EV -1.86%E -1.36%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 01:20
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 01:35
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 01:30
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 01:34
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:34
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:09
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:09
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:29
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Dabble (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 01:30
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 01:35
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:19
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:30
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 01:34
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.57%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.43%EV -0.424%E -0.305%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 01:20
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:29
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:35
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:10
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:10
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 01:29
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 01:29
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 01:29
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 01:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 01:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 01:10
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:05
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 01:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -9.02%E -7.10%K -33.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 01:29
MyBookie.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -9.52%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:53
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 01:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-05-01 01:35
Polymarket3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-05-01 01:34
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 26.79%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.21%1.2%2026-05-01 01:34
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-05-01 01:35
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-05-01 01:34
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-05-01 01:34
BetOpenly3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%6.3%2026-05-01 01:24