La escuela de los momiosMinnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Predicción 28.36%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.430%
Kelly +0.597%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.94%28.33%28.27%29.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.383.403.5832.26%29.62%29.41%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Denver Nuggets (Visitante)
Predicción 71.64%1.40momio equitativo
EV -0.424%
Ventaja -0.305%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.11%71.67%71.73%73.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.331.331.3978.74%75.23%75.19%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +1.54%E +0.430%K +0.597%G +0.009% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.972%E +0.273%K +0.380%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 01:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetAnything | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.162%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 01:20 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |
| GTbets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Caesars | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 01:19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -1.30%E -0.373%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:33 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%EV -2.43%E -0.707%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%EV -1.86%E -1.36%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 01:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:09 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 01:19 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Fliff | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.57%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.43%EV -0.424%E -0.305%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-01 01:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| ReBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -9.02%E -7.10%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 01:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -9.52%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 00:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Polymarket | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Novig | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.79% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.21% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| ProphetX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| BetOpenly | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |