Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets

Início: 2026-05-01 01:40 UTC

Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 110–98 Denver Nuggets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Previsão 28.36%3.53odd justa
EV +1.54%
Vantagem +0.430%
Kelly +0.597%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.94%28.33%28.27%29.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.383.403.5832.26%29.62%29.41%27.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Previsão 71.64%1.40odd justa
EV -0.424%
Vantagem -0.305%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.11%71.67%71.73%73.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.331.331.3978.74%75.23%75.19%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 28.36%; Denver Nuggets (Visitante): 71.64%. Para Minnesota Timberwolves (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.58, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +1.54%E +0.430%K +0.597%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 01:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.972%E +0.273%K +0.380%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 01:19
SportsBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:34
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 01:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.162%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 01:20
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 01:35
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:34
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:24
GTbets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:30
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 01:19
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -1.30%E -0.373%K -0.523%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-01 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Bet Victor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:33
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:29
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:30
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 01:30
theScore Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%EV -2.43%E -0.707%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%EV -1.86%E -1.36%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 01:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 01:35
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 01:34
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:34
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:09
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:29
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 01:30
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:19
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:30
Fliff🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 01:34
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.57%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.43%EV -0.424%E -0.305%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 01:20
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:29
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:10
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:34
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 01:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 01:29
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 01:29
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 01:30
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 01:30
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 01:10
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:05
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 01:30
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -9.02%E -7.10%K -33.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 01:29
MyBookie.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -9.52%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:53
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 01:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-05-01 01:35
Polymarket3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-05-01 01:34
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 26.79%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.21%1.2%2026-05-01 01:34
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-05-01 01:35
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-05-01 01:34
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-05-01 01:34
BetOpenly3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%6.3%2026-05-01 01:24