مدرسة الاحتمالات

Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets

البداية: 2026-05-01 01:40 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Minnesota Timberwolves 110–98 Denver Nuggets

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.36%3.53السعر العادل
EV +1.54%
الأفضلية +0.430%
Kelly +0.597%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.94%28.33%28.27%29.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.383.403.5832.26%29.62%29.41%27.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Denver Nuggets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.64%1.40السعر العادل
EV -0.424%
الأفضلية -0.305%
Kelly -1.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.11%71.67%71.73%73.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.331.331.3978.74%75.23%75.19%71.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +1.54%E +0.430%K +0.597%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 01:34
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.972%E +0.273%K +0.380%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 01:19
SportsBet3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:34
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.688%E +0.194%K +0.270%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 01:24
BetOnline.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.162%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 01:20
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 01:35
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:34
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:24
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 01:30
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.730%E -0.209%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 01:19
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -1.30%E -0.373%K -0.523%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-01 01:34
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Bet Victor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:33
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:29
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:29
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:30
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 01:30
theScore Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%EV -2.43%E -0.707%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%EV -1.86%E -1.36%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 01:20
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 01:35
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 01:30
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 01:34
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:34
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:09
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:09
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:29
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Dabble (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 01:30
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 01:35
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:19
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 01:30
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 01:34
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 01:29
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.57%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.43%EV -0.424%E -0.305%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 01:20
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:29
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 01:35
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:10
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:10
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 01:29
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 01:29
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 01:29
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 01:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 01:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 01:10
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:05
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 01:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -9.02%E -7.10%K -33.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 01:29
MyBookie.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -9.52%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 00:53
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 01:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-05-01 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-05-01 01:35
Polymarket3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-05-01 01:34
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 26.79%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.21%1.2%2026-05-01 01:34
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-05-01 01:35
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-05-01 01:34
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-05-01 01:34
BetOpenly3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%6.3%2026-05-01 01:24