Language:English
Saski Baskonia v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prediction 32.47%3.08fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.929%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.33%32.37%32.52%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.922.953.1738.17%34.24%33.90%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 67.53%1.48fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.968%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.17%67.63%67.48%69.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4673.53%71.57%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saski Baskonia (Local): 32.47%; Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit): 67.53%. For Saski Baskonia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +2.95%E +0.929%K +1.36%G +0.040% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 14:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 13:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -1.41%E -0.968%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.09%E -1.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -14.92%E -5.69%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |