La scuola delle quote

Saski Baskonia v Hapoel Tel Aviv

Inizio: 2026-03-27 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saski Baskonia (Casa)

Previsione 32.47%3.08quota equa
EV +2.95%
Vantaggio +0.929%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.33%32.37%32.52%34.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.922.953.1738.17%34.24%33.90%31.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Trasferta)

Previsione 67.53%1.48quota equa
EV -1.41%
Vantaggio -0.968%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.17%67.63%67.48%69.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.401.4673.53%71.57%71.43%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +2.95%E +0.929%K +1.36%G +0.040%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 19:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 11:59
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 11:45
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 11:44
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 11:45
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:14
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 16:19
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 16:19
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 14:45
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 13:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:09
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:09
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:10
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:10
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:10
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:15
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 17:10
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 17:53
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:14
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 17:09
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 17:10
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 14:44
ReBet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 17:15
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 15:00
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 14:59
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 11:20
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 13:19
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -1.41%E -0.968%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-27 18:55
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 14:24
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 17:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 17:14
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 06:44
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 17:15
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 19:20
MyBookie.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:15
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:15
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.09%E -1.44%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 13:25
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 13:25
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 13:25
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -14.92%E -5.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 13:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-27 19:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-03-27 19:25
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%4.3%2026-03-27 19:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-03-27 13:25