La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Saski Baskonia v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.929%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.33%32.37%32.52%34.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.922.953.1738.17%34.24%33.90%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visitante)
Predicción 67.53%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.968%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.17%67.63%67.48%69.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4673.53%71.57%71.43%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +2.95%E +0.929%K +1.36%G +0.040% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 11:59 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:45 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:53 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 14:44 |
| ReBet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 13:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -1.41%E -0.968%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| GTbets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.09%E -1.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| TAB | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -14.92%E -5.69%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |