L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.17
avec la cote maximale 1.46
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +2.95%E +0.929%K +1.36%G +0.040% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 11:59 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 11:45 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:53 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 14:44 |
| ReBet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 13:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -1.41%E -0.968%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| GTbets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.09%E -1.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| TAB | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -14.92%E -5.69%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |