默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saski Baskonia v Hapoel Tel Aviv

开赛时间： 2026-03-27 19:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

32%

68%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saski Baskonia (主队)

预测 32.47%3.08公平赔率

EV +2.95%

优势 +0.929%

Kelly +1.36%

增长率 +0.040%

假设最高赔率为 3.17

博彩公司预测分布

30.33%32.37%32.52%34.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.622.922.953.1738.17%34.24%33.90%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hapoel Tel Aviv (客队)

预测 67.53%1.48公平赔率

EV -1.41%

优势 -0.968%

Kelly -3.07%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布

65.17%67.63%67.48%69.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.361.401.401.4673.53%71.57%71.43%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saski Baskonia (主队)：32.47%；Hapoel Tel Aviv (客队)：67.53%。对于“Saski Baskonia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.08。当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.17，对应+2.95%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +2.95%E +0.929%K +1.36%G +0.040%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-27 19:20
William Hill🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-27 11:59
888sport🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-27 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-27 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-27 11:45
Everygame🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.672%E +0.217%K +0.320%G +0.002%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-27 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-26 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -1.60%E -0.528%K -0.789%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-26 16:19
DraftKings🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 14:45
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-26 13:25
BetRivers🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-27 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-27 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-27 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-27 17:09
Unibet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-27 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-27 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.58%E -0.858%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-27 17:10
FanDuel🎯	2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-27 17:15
SportsBet🎯	2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-27 17:14
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 17:10
Bovada🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 17:53
Betsson🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 17:14
NordicBet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-27 17:09
TABtouch🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-27 17:10
Coolbet🎯	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-27 14:44
ReBet🎯	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-27 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-27 15:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-27 14:59
BoyleSports🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-27 11:20
Paddy Power🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.17%E -6.00%K -22.68%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-26 13:19
1xBet🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -1.41%E -0.968%K -3.07%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-27 18:55
GTbets🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -7.12%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-26 14:24
Fanatics🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-27 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-27 17:14
PlayUp🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-27 06:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-27 17:15
BetUS🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.74%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-27 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-27 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-27 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-27 17:15
BetMGM🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.09%E -1.44%K -4.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 13:25
TAB🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.11%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-27 13:25
Neds🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -14.59%E -5.55%K -8.95%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-27 13:25
Coral🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -14.92%E -5.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-27 13:30

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%	0.7%	2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%	0.7%	2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%	0.7%	2026-03-27 19:25
Smarkets◎	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%	1.7%	2026-03-27 19:25
Matchbook◎	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%	4.3%	2026-03-27 19:25

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%	1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%	11.4%	2026-03-27 13:25