Language:English
FC Bayern München v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Bayern München (Local)
Prediction 70.24%1.42fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -8.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.30%70.14%70.33%73.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.3876.92%73.99%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit)
Prediction 29.76%3.36fair odd
EV +6.55%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.166%
assuming max odds 3.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.94%29.86%29.67%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.933.153.103.5834.13%31.77%32.26%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Bayern München (Local): 70.24%; ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit): 29.76%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.55%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +6.55%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.166% | 3.7% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -2.08%E -0.632%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -2.97%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.35%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -7.14%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -9.52%E -3.13%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 18:13 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.30%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.70%EV -12.79%E -4.37%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-26 19:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |