La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
FC Bayern München v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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FC Bayern München (Casa)
Previsione 70.24%1.42quota equa
EV -3.07%
Vantaggio -2.23%
Kelly -8.09%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.30%70.14%70.33%73.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.361.3876.92%73.99%73.53%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.76%3.36quota equa
EV +6.55%
Vantaggio +1.83%
Kelly +2.54%
Crescita +0.166%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.94%29.86%29.67%31.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.933.153.103.5834.13%31.77%32.26%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +6.55%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.166% | 3.7% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -2.08%E -0.632%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -2.97%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 17:44 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.35%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -7.14%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -9.52%E -3.13%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 18:13 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.30%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.70%EV -12.79%E -4.37%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-26 19:00 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |