语言:简体中文
FC Bayern München v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
FC Bayern München (主队)
预测 70.24%1.42公平赔率
EV -3.07%
优势 -2.23%
Kelly -8.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.38
博彩公司预测分布
68.30%70.14%70.33%73.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.351.361.3876.92%73.99%73.53%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (客队)
预测 29.76%3.36公平赔率
EV +6.55%
优势 +1.83%
Kelly +2.54%
增长率 +0.166%
假设最高赔率为 3.58
博彩公司预测分布
26.94%29.86%29.67%31.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.933.153.103.5834.13%31.77%32.26%27.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Bayern München (主队)：70.24%；ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (客队)：29.76%。 对于“ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.36。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.58，对应+6.55%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +6.55%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.166% | 3.7% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -2.08%E -0.632%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -2.97%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.35%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -7.14%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -9.52%E -3.13%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 18:13 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.30%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.70%EV -12.79%E -4.37%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-26 19:00 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |