La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
FC Bayern München v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Bayern München (Local)
Predicción 70.24%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -2.23%
Kelly -8.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.30%70.14%70.33%73.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.3876.92%73.99%73.53%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visitante)
Predicción 29.76%3.36momio equitativo
EV +6.55%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +2.54%
Crecimiento +0.166%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.94%29.86%29.67%31.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.933.153.103.5834.13%31.77%32.26%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +6.55%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.166% | 3.7% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -2.08%E -0.632%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -2.97%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 17:44 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.35%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -7.14%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -9.52%E -3.13%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 18:13 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.30%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.70%EV -12.79%E -4.37%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-26 19:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |