L’École des cotesLangue:Français
FC Bayern München v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Bayern München (Local)
Prévision 70.24%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -8.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.30%70.14%70.33%73.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.3876.92%73.99%73.53%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.76%3.36cote équitable
EV +6.55%
Avantage +1.83%
Kelly +2.54%
Croissance +0.166%
avec la cote maximale 3.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.94%29.86%29.67%31.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.933.153.103.5834.13%31.77%32.26%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV +6.55%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.166% | 3.7% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 15:24 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -2.08%E -0.632%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -7.29%E -5.52%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -2.97%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 17:44 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.35%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -7.14%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.69%E -6.69%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.07%E -2.23%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -9.52%E -3.13%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 18:13 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.18%E -3.84%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.59%E -4.95%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.30%EV -4.48%E -3.29%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.70%EV -12.79%E -4.37%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-26 19:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-25 13:19 |