Language:English
Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 33.90%2.95fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.843%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.74%33.96%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.20%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 66.10%1.51fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%66.26%66.04%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.81%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 33.90%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 66.10%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.562%K +0.843%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 21:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -2.04%E -0.707%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.38%E -0.827%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.38%E -0.827%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -2.72%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -2.72%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.50%E -1.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-15 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.42%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -4.75%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -5.43%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 22:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 1.6% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |