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Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-09-15 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 6–3 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 33.90%2.95odd justa
EV +1.69%
Vantagem +0.562%
Kelly +0.843%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.82%33.74%33.96%35.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.20%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 66.10%1.51odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.16%66.26%66.04%68.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.81%69.44%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 33.90%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 66.10%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.95. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.562%K +0.843%G +0.014%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.009%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 22:20
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:14
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.70%E -0.587%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 21:40
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -2.04%E -0.707%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:45
GTbets🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.38%E -0.827%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.38%E -0.827%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -2.72%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -2.72%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 22:40
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.50%E -1.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 21:20
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-15 21:30
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:45
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:40
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 21:35
888sport🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.42%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 22:35
BetUS🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-15 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -4.75%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 21:10
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 21:10
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 21:30
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 21:10
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 10:25
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:39
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 21:10
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -5.43%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:40
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:19
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 21:35
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 22:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 22:45
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:19
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 22:45
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 22:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-15 22:45
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-09-15 22:45
BetOpenly◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-09-15 22:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-09-15 22:40
Novig◎2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%1.0%2026-09-15 22:45
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-09-15 22:45
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-09-15 22:45
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-09-15 22:45
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-09-15 22:45