Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-15 22:45 UTC — MLB

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.21%2.84kurs godziwy
EV +1.75%
Przewaga +0.604%
Kelly +0.924%
Wzrost +0.016%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.89

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.87%35.14%35.14%36.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.452.712.732.8940.82%36.87%36.63%34.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Philadelphia Phillies (Goście)

Prognoza 64.79%1.54kurs godziwy
EV -0.866%
Przewaga -0.566%
Kelly -1.63%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.41%64.86%64.86%66.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.411.471.471.5370.92%68.11%68.03%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Washington Nationals (Gospodarze): 35.21%; Philadelphia Phillies (Goście): 64.79%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.84. 3 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.89, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +1.75%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV +1.75%E +0.604%K +0.924%G +0.016%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV +1.75%E +0.604%K +0.924%G +0.016%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 02:30
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +0.338%E +0.119%K +0.183%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-15 02:30
BetUS🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.718%E -0.255%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-15 02:30
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.42%E -0.508%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-15 02:40
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.42%E -0.508%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 20:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.42%E -0.508%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.05%E -4.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 02:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.42%E -0.508%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.05%E -4.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 02:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.42%E -0.508%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.42%E -0.508%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 02:35
DraftKings🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.48%E -0.895%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.40%E -3.70%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 02:34
SportsBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -2.48%E -0.895%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 20:39
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -2.83%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -2.16%E -1.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 20:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.81%E -1.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 22:55
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 02:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 02:35
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:35
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 02:45
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 02:50
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.18%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 02:45
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -3.89%E -1.42%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -0.866%E -0.566%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -4.59%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -3.46%E -2.32%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 01:44
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.94%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.81%E -1.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.94%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.94%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 20:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.94%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 19:25
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.94%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.94%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 02:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.94%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 02:45
Bovada🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.29%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 01:00
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 02:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.11%E -2.77%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 20:05
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:50
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.70%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 02:45
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.41%E -2.82%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -8.64%E -6.13%K -21.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 02:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.81%E -1.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 19:20
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.05%E -4.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 19:20
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.05%E -4.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 19:24
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 01:54
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.46%E -3.26%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.81%E -1.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 01:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.46%E -3.26%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.40%E -3.70%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 02:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.22%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -8.64%E -6.13%K -21.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%0.1%2026-09-15 02:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-09-14 22:00
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-09-15 02:40
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-09-14 20:45
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-09-15 01:25
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%3.2%2026-09-14 23:10
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 36.36%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.64%9.1%2026-09-14 20:45
Arbitraż (2 kombinacje) +0.04%LowVig.ag 2.89 (34.6%) / 1xBet 1.53 (65.4%)Pokaż wszystkie kombinacje (2)
Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)Philadelphia Phillies (Goście)Marża
LowVig.ag🎯 2.89 (34.6%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (65.4%)+0.038%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.89 (34.6%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (65.4%)+0.038%