Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

2026-07-11 20:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 37.20%2.69fair odd

EV -0.684%

Edge -0.256%

Kelly -0.410%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.58%37.25%37.05%38.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.352.542.552.6743%39%39%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 62.80%1.59fair odd

EV -0.771%

Edge -0.488%

Kelly -1.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.10%62.75%62.95%63.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.461.521.521.5868%66%66%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.684%E -0.256%K -0.410%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.28%E -2.13%K -6.08%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-10 18:49
LowVig.ag	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.684%E -0.256%K -0.410%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.28%E -2.13%K -6.08%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-10 18:55
FanDuel	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.91%E -2.56%K -7.38%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-10 17:30
PointsBet (AU)	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.91%E -2.56%K -7.38%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-10 17:30
theScore Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.91%E -2.56%K -7.38%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-10 18:15
Fanatics	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.17%E -3.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-10 17:35
William Hill	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-10 18:19
1xBet	2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -4.40%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -0.771%E -0.488%K -1.33%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-07-10 17:50
SportsBet	2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -6.42%E -4.31%K -13.11%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 17:30
Unibet (UK)	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.73%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-10 17:34
PlayUp	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.73%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-10 17:39
Paddy Power	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-10 17:27
Winamax (DE)	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-10 17:54
Betclic (FR)	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.17%E -3.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 17:38
Bet Victor	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-10 17:38
Fliff	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.03%E -1.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-10 17:39
ReBet	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.42%E -4.31%K -13.11%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-10 17:34
Unibet (FR)	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.68%E -5.22%K -16.34%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-10 17:34
Winamax (FR)	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.06%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-10 17:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%	0.0%	2026-07-10 17:35
Polymarket	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-07-10 18:55
Smarkets	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%	10.0%	2026-07-10 17:34