The School of Odds
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Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 20:10 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–4 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 36.41%2.75fair odd
EV +0.124%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.071%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%36.44%36.32%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.08%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 63.59%1.57fair odd
EV -0.798%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.56%63.68%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.62%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.124%E +0.045%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.968%E -0.356%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:03
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-11 20:04
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:03
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:04
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.798%E -0.511%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 19:50
MyBookie.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:03
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:02
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 20:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 35.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.55%-0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:05
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-11 20:04