La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-07-11 20:10 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–4 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 36.41%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.124%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.44%36.32%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.08%38.02%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 63.59%1.57momio equitativo
EV -0.798%
Ventaja -0.511%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%63.56%63.68%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.62%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.124%E +0.045%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.968%E -0.356%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:03
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-11 20:04
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:03
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:04
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.798%E -0.511%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 19:50
MyBookie.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:03
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:02
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 20:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 35.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.55%-0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:05
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-11 20:04