A Escola das Odds

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-07-11 20:10 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–4 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 36.41%2.75odd justa
EV +0.124%
Vantagem +0.045%
Kelly +0.071%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.44%36.32%37.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.08%38.02%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 63.59%1.57odd justa
EV -0.798%
Vantagem -0.511%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%63.56%63.68%65.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.62%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.124%E +0.045%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.968%E -0.356%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:03
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-11 20:04
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:03
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:04
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.798%E -0.511%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 19:50
MyBookie.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:03
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:02
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 20:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 35.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.55%-0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:05
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-11 20:04