مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-07-11 20:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 2–4 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.41%2.75السعر العادل
EV +0.124%
الأفضلية +0.045%
Kelly +0.071%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%36.44%36.32%37.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.08%38.02%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.59%1.57السعر العادل
EV -0.798%
الأفضلية -0.511%
Kelly -1.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.50%63.56%63.68%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.62%66.67%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.124%E +0.045%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.968%E -0.356%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:03
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-11 20:04
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:03
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:04
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.798%E -0.511%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 19:50
MyBookie.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:03
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:02
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 20:03
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 35.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.55%-0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:05
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-11 20:04