L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 20:10 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 2–4 New York Yankees

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 36.41%2.75cote équitable
EV +0.124%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.071%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.44%36.32%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.08%38.02%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.59%1.57cote équitable
EV -0.798%
Avantage -0.511%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%63.56%63.68%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.62%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.124%E +0.045%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.968%E -0.356%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.70%E -0.628%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:03
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
BetAnything2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.06%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-11 20:04
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 20:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:03
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:04
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.798%E -0.511%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 19:50
MyBookie.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:03
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 20:04
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:02
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 20:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 35.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.55%-0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-11 20:05
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-07-11 20:04
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-11 20:04