Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 42.58%2.35fair odd
EV +0.068%
Edge +0.029%
Kelly +0.050%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.48%42.78%45.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.202.202.3548.54%45.38%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 57.42%1.74fair odd
EV -0.667%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.88%57.52%57.22%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.68%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 42.58%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 57.42%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.348. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.068%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.050%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.784%E -0.336%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 16:10
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 14:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.28%E -5.87%K -16.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.00%E -7.10%K -20.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Everygame🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:20
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.667%E -0.386%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.47%E -2.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.89%E -2.67%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:05
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -11.85%E -5.73%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:34
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:19
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 14:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 17:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35