默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v Milwaukee Brewers

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

最终结果: Washington Nationals 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 42.58%2.35公平赔率
EV +0.068%
优势 +0.029%
Kelly +0.050%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
40.26%42.48%42.78%45.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.062.202.202.3548.54%45.38%45.45%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Milwaukee Brewers (客队)

预测 57.42%1.74公平赔率
EV -0.667%
优势 -0.386%
Kelly -0.914%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布
54.88%57.52%57.22%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.68%59.52%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Washington Nationals (主队):42.58%;Milwaukee Brewers (客队):57.42%。 对于“Washington Nationals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.348。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.350,对应+0.068%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.050%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.784%E -0.336%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 16:10
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 14:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.28%E -5.87%K -16.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.00%E -7.10%K -20.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Everygame🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:20
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.667%E -0.386%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.47%E -2.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.89%E -2.67%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:05
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -11.85%E -5.73%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 17:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:34
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:19
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 14:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 17:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35