مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Milwaukee Brewers

البداية: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.58%2.35السعر العادل
EV +0.068%
الأفضلية +0.029%
Kelly +0.050%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.26%42.48%42.78%45.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.062.202.202.3548.54%45.38%45.45%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Milwaukee Brewers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.42%1.74السعر العادل
EV -0.667%
الأفضلية -0.386%
Kelly -0.914%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.88%57.52%57.22%59.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.68%59.52%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.050%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.784%E -0.336%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 16:10
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 14:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.28%E -5.87%K -16.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.00%E -7.10%K -20.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:20
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.667%E -0.386%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 17:30
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.47%E -2.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:10
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.89%E -2.67%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 14:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:54
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:04
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -11.85%E -5.73%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:34
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:19
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 14:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 17:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35